Outlook
Production in the September quarter has been negatively
impacted by the following:
- the fire at KDC which reduced production by
approximately 50,000 ounces;
- the temporary suspension of the heap leach facilities at
Tarkwa which resulted in a loss of 15,000 ounces;
- internal and external safety stoppages at Beatrix resulted
in a loss of some 20,000 ounces; and
- at South Deep approximately 15,000 ounces have been
lost to date, which appears to be the result of a go-slow
after issuing of the Section 189 (3) notice.
As a result of the factors described above, attributable gold
production for the year ending December 2012 is expected to
be no more than 3.4 million equivalent ounces and could
reduce further if no agreement is reached at South Deep.
For the year ending December 2012, total cash cost is
estimated to be approximately 2 per cent higher at US$880
per ounce (R230,000 per kilogram) and NCE, excluding
capitalised growth projects, is estimated to be approximately 3
per cent higher at US$1,340 per ounce (R348,000 per
kilogram) when compared with the guidance provided in
February. The capital projects group is anticipating spending
between US$20 per ounce and US$25 per ounce on
realisation costs of projects, including drilling, feasibility
studies and early-work capital expenditure on our advanced
projects. This is well below the original estimate of between
US$50 per ounce and US$70 per ounce due to the timing of
expenditure and deferrals to ensure project optimisation.
These estimates are based on an average exchange rate of
R/US$8.20 and R/A$8.55 for the remainder of the year. Unit
costs vary quarter on quarter depending upon the timing of
capital expenditure, seasonal electricity tariffs and production
variations due to statutory holidays.
The above is subject to safety performance which limits the
impact of safety-related stoppages and the forward looking
statement.
|